Maracanã vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 0
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ICA
2 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AAF
0 - 3
GUA
8%
13%
80%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
GUA
19%
18%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
GUA
18%
18%
64%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |