Maracanã vs Campo Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 4
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAR
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
IGU
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
ITA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Campo Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CGF
2 - 3
HOR
7%
14%
78%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FER
10 - 0
CGF
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |