Maracaju vs Aquidauanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NOV
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
COM
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
CEN
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aquidauanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
AQU
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
AQU
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
AQU
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AQU
3 - 0
MIS
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
AQU
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |