Manurewa vs Takapuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
5º
4º
12
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 3
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 0
MEL
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +6 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
MAN
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 1
WCR
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 4
MAN
94%
5%
1%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | +2 |
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 3
HAW
20%
18%
62%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WES
3 - 0
TAK
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
TAK
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
TAK
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |