Manurewa vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
78.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
6º
13
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 5
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
WEL
56%
20%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
58%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AFC
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |