Manu Ura vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
WAI
2 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
AUC
6 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 2
TAF
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAK
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
MAG
4 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
WAI
5 - 0
HAW
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 1
WAI
12%
22%
67%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 2
WAI
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
AUC
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 9
WAI
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |