Mantova Sub 19 vs Milan U19 analysis


25	ELO	42
-1.3%	Tilt	-2.1%
40276º	General ELO ranking	6801º
1238º	Country ELO ranking	218º
ELO win probability

23.2%

Mantova Sub 19

23.7%

Draw

53.2%

Milan U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

23.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%

23.7%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

23.7%

53.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%