Manthiqueira vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 4
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
BER
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JAB
0 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAU
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOG
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 5
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +2 |