Paulista B Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Manthiqueira vs Itararé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
1 - 1
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 1
OSA
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
OSA
1 - 3
MAN
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
USA
3 - 1
MAN
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Itararé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
1 - 1
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
JAB
0 - 1
AAI
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
1 - 0
JAB
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
AAI
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
0 - 0
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |