Manta vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
PQU
1 - 1
MAN
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
OCT
1 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ORE
2 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
ORE
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FAM
4 - 1
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AME
2 - 1
FAM
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
5 - 2
FAM
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 3
MAC
13%
25%
62%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |