Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
DEL
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LDU
1 - 0
MAN
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 3
TEC
50%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
LDU
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 2
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 1
IMB
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 3
MAC
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 0
DEL
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |