Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LDU
1 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
4 - 1
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 4
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
BSC
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |