Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IVT
2 - 2
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
CUE
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
QUI
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
UCE
1 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 4
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAC
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 4
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |