Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
EME
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 3
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
OLM
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 2
LDU
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |