Manta vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LIG
5 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
OLM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 2
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 2
CUE
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |