Manta vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
QUI
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 2
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2010 |
EME
0 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 0
OLM
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
UCE
0 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
OLM
1 - 1
NAC
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 3
LDU
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |