Manta vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MUS
4 - 2
MAN
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 3
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 3
BSC
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
OCT
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 4
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 2
AUC
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 3
EME
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |