Mansfield Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
CAM
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 3
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAL
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
MOR
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |