Marchfeld vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
SKN
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
SVS
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
AWM
2 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DON
2 - 3
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
SVL
1 - 3
WEI
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 3
FCM
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
WEI
2 - 3
RAP
5%
13%
83%
|
33 | 80 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
UGA
4 - 0
WEI
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
GUR
3 - 1
WEI
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |