Marchfeld vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
SKN
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
SVS
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
AWM
2 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DON
2 - 3
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
SVL
1 - 3
WEI
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 3
FCM
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
WEI
2 - 3
RAP
5%
12%
83%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
UGA
4 - 0
WEI
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
GUR
3 - 1
WEI
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |