Marchfeld vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAF
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
MAN
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 3
LEO
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAN
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 0
WUR
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 2
KOT
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
KRE
3 - 2
SPR
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 1
GAF
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 3
SPR
45%
22%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |