Marchfeld vs Siegendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
8º
6º
36
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAN
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
ELE
65%
19%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 4
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 3
SCA
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
4 - 0
MAN
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
SCW
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ASV
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
VIE
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 2
ASV
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |