Australia Second Division New South Wales Round 15

Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis

Manly United Marconi Stallions
40 ELO 28
4.5% Tilt 13.9%
5275º General ELO ranking 2013º
47º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Manly United
13.3%
Draw
7.2%
Marconi Stallions

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
Manly United
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
Marconi Stallions
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manly United
-47%
-13%
Marconi Stallions

ELO progression

Manly United
Marconi Stallions
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manly United
Manly United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2018
MAN
Manly United
1 - 2
Sydney Olympic
SYD
46%
25%
29%
41 43 2 0
02 Jun. 2018
MAN
Manly United
0 - 0
Hakoah Sydney
HAS
47%
23%
30%
41 41 0 0
27 May. 2018
API
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0 - 1
Manly United
MAN
61%
20%
19%
40 47 7 +1
19 May. 2018
BON
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
2 - 1
Manly United
MAN
22%
20%
58%
42 29 13 -2
12 May. 2018
MAN
Manly United
1 - 1
Sydney United
SYD
49%
23%
28%
42 41 1 0

Matches

Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2018
API
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0 - 1
Marconi Stallions
MAR
84%
12%
5%
26 47 21 0
02 Jun. 2018
MAR
Marconi Stallions
2 - 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
BON
21%
21%
59%
25 36 11 +1
30 May. 2018
MAR
Marconi Stallions
2 - 1
GHFA Spirit
GHS
71%
16%
13%
25 16 9 0
26 May. 2018
SYD
Sydney United
2 - 2
Marconi Stallions
MAR
85%
10%
5%
25 38 13 0
20 May. 2018
WOL
Wollongong Wolves
1 - 0
Marconi Stallions
MAR
78%
14%
8%
25 36 11 0