Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ROC
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
STG
4 - 3
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 2
SYD
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SOU
6 - 1
MAN
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 4
SUT
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
STG
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOU
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
BLA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SYD
2 - 3
MAR
68%
19%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BON
4 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |