Manly United vs Blacktown Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 2
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
WOL
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 6
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +3 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 3
BON
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAE
2 - 5
MAN
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 2
API
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SYD
3 - 1
BLA
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
BLA
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 0
WOL
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
HAS
3 - 2
BLA
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |