Super League round 33

MUZA vs Nkana FC analysis

MUZA Nkana FC
39 ELO 36
-22% Tilt -12.4%
7359º General ELO ranking 7167º
17º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
45.1%
MUZA
26.7%
Draw
28.2%
Nkana FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
MUZA
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.2%
Win probability
Nkana FC
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MUZA
+1%
+30%
Nkana FC

ELO progression

MUZA
Nkana FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MUZA
MUZA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
NKW
Nkwazi
1 - 2
MUZA
MUZ
37%
27%
36%
36 37 1 0
12 Apr. 2025
MUZ
MUZA
0 - 0
NAPSA Stars FC
NAP
46%
27%
27%
36 37 1 0
02 Apr. 2025
ZES
Zesco United
1 - 0
MUZA
MUZ
48%
24%
29%
37 37 0 -1
26 Mar. 2025
MUZ
MUZA
1 - 1
Mutondo Stars
MUS
50%
24%
26%
37 34 3 0
12 Mar. 2025
LUR
Lumwana Radiants
1 - 1
MUZA
MUZ
37%
26%
36%
37 37 0 0

Matches

Nkana FC
Nkana FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
ZES
Zesco United
1 - 0
Nkana FC
NKA
48%
26%
26%
38 38 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
NKA
Nkana FC
1 - 1
Power Dynamos
POW
46%
25%
29%
38 38 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
KAD
Kansanshi Dynamos
0 - 0
Nkana FC
NKA
43%
27%
30%
39 39 0 -1
09 Apr. 2025
GRE
Green Buffaloes
0 - 1
Nkana FC
NKA
46%
25%
29%
38 35 3 +1
05 Apr. 2025
ROA
Roan United
1 - 1
Nkana FC
NKA
70%
18%
12%
38 49 11 0