Manchester United vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 3
MUD
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
MUD
23%
27%
50%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MID
4 - 1
MUD
21%
25%
54%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MUD
4 - 1
BAR
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 0
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
VCF
47%
27%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
BET
2 - 3
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |