Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1900 |
GLO
1 - 0
MUD
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1900 |
MUD
2 - 1
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1900 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1900 |
WAL
0 - 0
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1900 |
MUD
5 - 0
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1900 |
MID
2 - 0
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1900 |
SHW
3 - 0
MID
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1900 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1900 |
LOU
1 - 1
MID
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1900 |
MID
0 - 3
BOL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |