Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Manchester United vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
0 - 3
MAC
39%
25%
36%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WHU
0 - 2
MUD
15%
20%
64%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
3 - 0
OLP
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
0 - 3
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BYM
3 - 3
HOF
86%
10%
4%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
BYM
5%
13%
82%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
M05
0 - 2
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BYM
2 - 1
LEV
78%
14%
8%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BYM
1 - 1
ARS
71%
17%
11%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |