Manchester City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
LEE
3 - 0
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
EVE
2 - 3
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
SOU
1 - 1
TOT
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
SOU
3 - 1
CHL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
STO
3 - 3
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |