Manchester City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 1
MAC
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
MAC
2 - 2
EVE
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
HUR
3 - 0
MAC
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
TOT
0 - 0
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
CHL
1 - 1
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1935 |
OPA
2 - 1
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
OPA
0 - 1
ASV
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
DER
0 - 1
OPA
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
OPA
5 - 1
EVE
48%
23%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |