Manchester City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
42%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
FUL
0 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2002 |
MAC
2 - 3
TOT
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
SCU
0 - 2
LEE
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 0
BIR
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
SUN
1 - 2
LEE
29%
28%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
LEE
1 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |