Manchester City vs FC Halifax Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
WYC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
OLD
0 - 3
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MAC
2 - 1
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
LIN
2 - 1
MAC
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Halifax Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
HAL
3 - 2
CHE
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
CUM
0 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
HAL
2 - 0
SWA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
LEY
1 - 0
HAL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
HAL
3 - 3
CAM
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |