Champions League . 1/16
Global 1-2
Manchester City vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
MAC
1 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
STO
1 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1968 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
QPR
1 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1968 |
FEN
1 - 1
SEK
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
MER
1 - 2
FEN
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALT
60%
24%
16%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
HAC
0 - 3
FEN
29%
30%
40%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BJK
0 - 0
FEN
41%
32%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |