Manchego vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 2
TAL
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 2
MAN
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
GAL
55%
24%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 0
GAL
42%
27%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
ILL
53%
24%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 2
TAR
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AZU
1 - 3
ILL
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 1
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |