CD Manchego vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 0
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
0 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
2 - 0
RMC
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
4 - 0
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 2
MAN
39%
30%
31%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
COL
2 - 0
AVI
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AVI
2 - 1
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
CIE
1 - 2
AVI
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
AVI
2 - 1
SEG
52%
26%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
SFN
3 - 1
AVI
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |