CD Manchego vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
GIM
2 - 0
MAN
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MAN
1 - 1
PUE
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
CDT
1 - 1
MAN
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MAN
3 - 2
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
UBC
3 - 1
MAN
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
AVI
1 - 0
GUA
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
CUA
1 - 2
AVI
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
AVI
2 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
LEG
3 - 1
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
AVI
2 - 3
FEM
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |