CD Manchego vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ORI
2 - 0
MAN
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MAN
3 - 1
CIE
57%
19%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
TAL
4 - 2
MAN
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
MAN
4 - 0
RAY
23%
26%
52%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
TOM
2 - 0
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
AVI
2 - 0
UBC
68%
16%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ALC
4 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
AVI
3 - 1
GUA
74%
14%
12%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ALI
3 - 2
AVI
67%
17%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
AVI
2 - 3
IMP
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |