Manawatu vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
HAW
1 - 4
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
AUC
4 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TEA
4 - 2
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 2
TEA
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 1
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAN
2 - 1
TEA
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
TEA
1 - 4
NAP
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |