Manawatu vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
NSH
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
4 - 1
MIR
32%
24%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
TCU
5 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
MIR
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
CEN
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
EAU
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
TCU
2 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 6
NAP
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |