Manaus vs Sul América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 4
FAS
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PRI
3 - 3
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SUL
0 - 4
IRA
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SUL
0 - 2
PRI
27%
24%
50%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAS
6 - 2
SUL
69%
18%
12%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
SUL
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
SUL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |