Série D Brazil . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Manaus vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
SOB
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SOB
4 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAX
23%
28%
49%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +4 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
FLO
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
FLO
2 - 2
JAC
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
JAC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |