Managua vs Xilotepelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
WAL
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Xilotepelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
XIL
2 - 1
DIR
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
XIL
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
XIL
5 - 1
DEP
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 2
XIL
37%
25%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
XIL
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |