Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 4
MAN
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
DEP
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 3
DIR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
DIR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
JAP
0 - 10
EST
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |