Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DIR
0 - 3
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
6 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |