Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UNA
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
DIR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 4
WAL
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DIR
0 - 1
WAL
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |