Nedbank Cup South Africa 1/16

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns Stellenbosch FC
75 ELO 67
-8.5% Tilt -10%
1189º General ELO ranking 1312º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.1%
Mamelodi Sundowns
24.2%
Draw
21.8%
Stellenbosch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
Stellenbosch FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mamelodi Sundowns
+46%
+6%
Stellenbosch FC

ELO progression

Mamelodi Sundowns
Stellenbosch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2021
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 0
Chippa United
CHI
56%
25%
19%
74 67 7 0
27 Jan. 2021
BLA
Black Leopards
1 - 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
27%
28%
45%
74 64 10 0
23 Jan. 2021
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
55%
25%
20%
74 68 6 0
19 Jan. 2021
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 0
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
51%
26%
23%
74 70 4 0
16 Jan. 2021
SSU
SuperSport United
0 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
48%
26%
26%
74 74 0 0

Matches

Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2021
AMA
AmaZulu
2 - 1
Stellenbosch FC
SFC
40%
28%
33%
68 66 2 0
23 Jan. 2021
SFC
Stellenbosch FC
0 - 0
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
36%
28%
36%
68 72 4 0
20 Jan. 2021
SFC
Stellenbosch FC
2 - 3
Baroka
BAR
50%
27%
23%
68 65 3 0
16 Jan. 2021
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
1 - 1
Stellenbosch FC
SFC
48%
26%
26%
68 70 2 0
08 Jan. 2021
SFC
Stellenbosch FC
1 - 1
Black Leopards
BLA
47%
27%
27%
68 64 4 0