South African First Division Round 17

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates
71 ELO 74
1.3% Tilt -15.9%
1205º General ELO ranking 1223º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.1%
Mamelodi Sundowns
27.4%
Draw
28.6%
Orlando Pirates

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.6%
Win probability
Orlando Pirates
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mamelodi Sundowns
+86%
+41%
Orlando Pirates

ELO progression

Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2009
MPU
Cape Town City FC
0 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
32%
29%
39%
70 58 12 0
07 Nov. 2009
GOL
Golden Arrows
1 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
53%
26%
21%
71 72 1 -1
04 Nov. 2009
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
46%
28%
26%
70 68 2 +1
01 Nov. 2009
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 1
Jomo Cosmos
COS
69%
20%
11%
70 60 10 0
28 Oct. 2009
PLS
Platinum Stars
2 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
38%
29%
33%
70 64 6 0

Matches

Orlando Pirates
Orlando Pirates
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2009
PIR
Orlando Pirates
3 - 0
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
44%
28%
29%
74 73 1 0
08 Nov. 2009
PIR
Orlando Pirates
3 - 1
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
51%
28%
22%
73 68 5 +1
04 Nov. 2009
PIR
Orlando Pirates
1 - 1
Durban City
MAR
59%
25%
16%
74 61 13 -1
31 Oct. 2009
CHI
Kaizer Chiefs
0 - 0
Orlando Pirates
PIR
45%
28%
27%
74 73 1 0
28 Oct. 2009
AMA
AmaZulu
2 - 1
Orlando Pirates
PIR
27%
29%
45%
74 61 13 0