Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 0
BLO
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
34%
30%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KCC
1 - 1
SUN
9%
18%
73%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | +5 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 0
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 1
KCC
85%
12%
3%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
PLS
2 - 0
GOL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GOL
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 2
GOL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |