Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
SUN
7%
16%
77%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PIR
1 - 2
SUN
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 5
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
GOL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 1
BID
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 2
CHI
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |