Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BLO
0 - 0
SUN
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BID
0 - 2
SUN
36%
24%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
PIR
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 3
SUN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 1
BID
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
35%
27%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOL
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |